WD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$43.49
0.44 (1.02%)
β²
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
-5.48%
90d:
-28.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: WD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
β BUY SIGNAL: WD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.91
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.48
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $43.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.73 to $54.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.50 (+55.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.50 (+55.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$42.73 -
$54.36
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.2% below Wall St target ($67.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.73 -
$54.36
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.56
Resistance Level
$47.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.95
Wall Street Target
$67.50
(+55.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$35.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$31.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8β11)
$44.66
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$156.29
(+259%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$55.60
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$47.26
(+9%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$96.40
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$87.64
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$29.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$61.26
(+40.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ernest Michael Freedman
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-05
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