Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RKT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.00
42.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: RKT is currently trading at $14.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.34 to $15.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RKT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $15.86. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.05 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.34 -
$15.81
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($20.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.34 -
$15.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$13.80
Resistance Level$15.86
Current TrendStrong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)13.12
Wall Street Target
$20.05
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)167.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)-89.5%
Profit Margin2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.57
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$15.07
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Rocket Companies is a financial services company that was originally founded as Rock Financial in 1985 and is currently based in Detroit. Rocket Companies offers a wide array of services and products but is best known for its Rocket Mortgage business. The company's mortgage lending operations are split between its direct-to-consumer lending, which sees borrowers accessing the company's lending arm directly through either its mobile app or website, and its partner network where mortgage brokers and other firms use Rocket's origination process to offer loans to their customers. The company has rapidly gained market share in recent years and will also be the largest mortgage servicer in the US following its acquisition of the Mr. Cooper Group.