WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$175.63
0.97 (0.56%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$406.62
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$252.48
30.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $175.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.63 to $214.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $169.01, while resistance sits at $194.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $272.09 (+55.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $169.01, while resistance sits at $194.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $272.09 (+55.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$186.63 -
$214.80
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WDAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.8% below Wall St target ($272.09)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$186.63 -
$214.80
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.01
Resistance Level
$194.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.28
Wall Street Target
$272.09
(+55.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.6%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 22.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.19
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$141.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$127.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$177.57
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.8%)
$391.09
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 17.8%)
$285.47
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$242.65
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.97
Bull Case
$210.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$174.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$133.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$243.58
(+39.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael M Mcnamara
SELL
5393 shares
2025-10-10
Mark S Garfield
SELL
1915 shares
2025-10-09
David A Duffield
SELL
75053 shares
2025-10-08
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Advanced WDAY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.
