WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$128.19
4.01 (3.23%)
▲
5d:
-6.47%
30d:
-4.16%
90d:
-41.92%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
WDAY is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $175 2026-04-17 with 2,848 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$323.32
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$200.76
36.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $128.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.26 to $142.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $122.30, while resistance sits at $139.38. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $181.31 (+46.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $122.30, while resistance sits at $139.38. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $181.31 (+46.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$129.26 -
$142.35
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WDAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.0% below Wall St target ($181.31)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$129.26 -
$142.35
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$122.30
Resistance Level
$139.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.58
Wall Street Target
$181.31
(+46.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.9%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.76
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$100.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$90.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$141.50
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$391.77
(+216%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$202.53
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 17.7%)
$172.15
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.75
Bull Case
$165.50
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$137.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$104.85
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$194.10
(+56.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-03-13
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-03-10
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced WDAY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.
