WLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLY - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Class A
$41.01
-0.03 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
+9.01%
90d:
+32.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
WLY is up 8.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 36 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.00
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLY is currently trading at $41.01, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.76 to $41.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+60.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+60.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.76 -
$41.04
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.9% below Wall St target ($66.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.76 -
$41.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.36
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.81
Resistance Level
$43.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$66.00
(+60.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.53
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$44.10
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$45.73
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.79
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$141.61
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$59.32
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 13.1%)
$50.42
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$74.98
(+83%)
Analyst growth 66.1%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$68.16
(+66%)
Market implied 66.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$27.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WLY price and gamma walls.
