WTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WTW - Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
$317.47
1.22 (0.39%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WTW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WTW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$499.81
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$310.34
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WTW is currently trading at $317.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $320.64 to $333.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 144.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $311.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $369.11 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $311.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $369.11 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$320.64 -
$333.87
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($369.11)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$320.64 -
$333.87
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.32
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$311.84
Resistance Level
$330.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.37
Wall Street Target
$369.11
(+16.7%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
144.1%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$313.09
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$309.96
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$306.86
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$316.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$636.81
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$467.55
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$397.42
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.90
Bull Case
$319.54
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.6%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$290.49
(-8%)
Market implied -7.6%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$213.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$326.43
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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Advanced WTW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WTW price and gamma walls.
