WTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WTW - Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
$290.70
0.98 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-4.41%
90d:
-13.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$521.74
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$323.96
10.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WTW is currently trading at $290.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $287.21 to $300.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $297.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $370.63 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $297.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $370.63 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$287.21 -
$300.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($370.63)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$287.21 -
$300.86
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.36
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$280.77
Resistance Level
$297.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.97
Wall Street Target
$370.63
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.2%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 15.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$275.87
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$261.80
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$248.45
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$291.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$741.01
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$429.92
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$365.44
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.25
Bull Case
$441.98
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.0%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$401.80
(+37%)
Market implied 38.0%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$198.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$340.75
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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