AON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AON - Aon plc Class A
$357.46
13.90 (4.05%)
▲
5d:
+13.14%
30d:
+12.46%
90d:
+11.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
20d
Get Alerted When AON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AON is 7.4% above its trading range ($332.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AON is 7.4% above its trading range ($332.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$502.40
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$311.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AON is currently trading at $357.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $317.50 to $332.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $357.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AON is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $357.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$317.50 -
$332.79
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($383.32)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$317.50 -
$332.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$313.62
Resistance Level
$357.54
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.70
Wall Street Target
$383.32
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Profit Margin
22.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$362.46
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$367.54
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$372.68
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$357.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$654.80
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$502.03
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$426.72
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.21
Bull Case
$444.26
(+24%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$403.87
(+13%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$233.62
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Zeidel
SELL
5040 shares
2026-02-17
Lester B Knight
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Insurance Brokers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance Brokers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co |
BUY
22 analysts |
$265 | 66 BUY |
|
WTW
Willis Towers Watson PLC |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$332 | 62 BUY |
|
MMC
Marsh & McLennan Compani… |
SELL
20 analysts |
$211 | 61 BUY |
|
BRO
Brown & Brown Inc |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$72 | 67 BUY |
|
BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Gr… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$30 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced AON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AON price and gamma walls.
