XMTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XMTR - Xometry, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$37.06
-0.58 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
-10.66%
30d:
-9.64%
90d:
-40.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
XMTR is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-05-15 with 6 OI. Call ratio: 88% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: XMTR is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: XMTR is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XMTR is currently trading at $37.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.05 to $48.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.4) compared to its historical average (67.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.33 (+65.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.33 (+65.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$37.05 -
$48.44
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
69th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding XMTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 69th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.6% below Wall St target ($62.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.05 -
$48.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.10
(13.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.83
Resistance Level
$42.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.38
Wall Street Target
$62.33
(+65.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Profit Margin
-9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.4 vs 67.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$30.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$27.44
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→68)
$57.20
(+52%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.4, Growth: 61.2%)
$127.03
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 61.2%)
$87.89
(+134%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 61.2%)
$74.70
(+99%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.4 to 67.5
Stabilization Target:
$78.47
(+108.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+108.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XMTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Katharine Weymouth
BUY
1215 shares
2026-02-27
James Miln
SELL
15103 shares
2026-02-26
Randolph Altschuler
SELL
31928 shares
2026-02-26
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Advanced XMTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XMTR price and gamma walls.
