XMTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XMTR - Xometry, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$57.13
-3.98 (-6.51%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your XMTR Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 23d
Smart Money Accumulation

XMTR is down 7.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-04-17 with 148 OI. Call ratio: 88% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: XMTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.91
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XMTR is currently trading at $57.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.76 to $65.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 80.6) is in line with its historical norms (80.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XMTR is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $58.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $60.76 - $65.70
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.44)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $60.76 - $65.70
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$4.77 (8.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $58.44
Resistance Level $66.76
Current Trend Support Break

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 80.62
Wall Street Target $65.44 (+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.5%
Profit Margin -9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 80.6 vs 80.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $61.23 (+0%)
2-Year Target $61.35 (+0%)
3-Year Target $61.48 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 81β†’80) PE COMPRESSION $61.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 80.6, Growth: 127.8%) $206.25 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 127.8%) $57.05 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 127.8%) $48.49 (-21%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randolph Altschuler SELL 9331 shares 2025-10-02
James Miln SELL 598 shares 2025-09-02

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Advanced XMTR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XMTR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for XMTR

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