XYL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XYL - Xylem Inc
$137.87
-0.05 (-0.04%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XYL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XYL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$193.26
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.00
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XYL is currently trading at $137.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.43 to $142.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XYL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.36, while resistance sits at $146.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.18 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XYL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.36, while resistance sits at $146.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.18 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$137.43 -
$142.30
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($167.18)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$137.43 -
$142.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.36
Resistance Level
$146.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.83
Wall Street Target
$167.18
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 25.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.51
(0%)
2-Year Target
$137.09
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$136.68
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$138.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$182.27
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.7%)
$163.72
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$139.16
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.88
Bull Case
$213.44
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$194.03
(+41%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$92.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.8 to 25.1
Stabilization Target:
$139.44
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XYL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Geri-Michelle Mcshane
SELL
1000 shares
2025-09-05
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