YALA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YALA - Yalla Group Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$7.05
-0.06 (-0.84%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YALA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YALA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.84
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YALA is currently trading at $7.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.85 to $7.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YALA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.46, while resistance sits at $7.32.
Market Sentiment: YALA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.60 (+35.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YALA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.46, while resistance sits at $7.32.
Market Sentiment: YALA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.60 (+35.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.85 -
$7.21
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($9.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.85 -
$7.21
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.76
(10.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.46
Resistance Level
$7.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.65
Wall Street Target
$9.60
(+35.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
42.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$7.20
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$7.24
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$24.48
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 5.7%)
$8.39
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$7.13
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$8.92
(+27%)
Analyst growth 13.4%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$8.11
(+15%)
Market implied 13.4%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$4.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YALA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced YALA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's YALA price and gamma walls.
