YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.08
0.11 (3.70%)
▲
5d:
-6.67%
30d:
-23.95%
90d:
-24.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YSG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: YSG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.69
34.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $3.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.37 to $4.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.9) compared to its historical average (1.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.87, while resistance sits at $3.92. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: YSG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.23 (+199.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.87, while resistance sits at $3.92. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: YSG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.23 (+199.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$3.37 -
$4.26
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 199.7% below Wall St target ($9.23)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.37 -
$4.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.87
Resistance Level
$3.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.95
Wall Street Target
$9.23
(+199.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Profit Margin
-14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.81
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$2.57
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$2.34
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$2.95
(-4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 252.6%)
$243.82
(+7816%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 252.6%)
$10.39
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 252.6%)
$8.84
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.2
Stabilization Target:
$3.88
(+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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