YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$4.26
0.08 (1.91%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: YSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.08
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $4.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.10 to $4.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.3) is in line with its historical norms (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.06, while resistance sits at $4.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.23 (+120.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.06, while resistance sits at $4.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.23 (+120.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.10 -
$4.43
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
42th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 42th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 120.8% below Wall St target ($9.23)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.10 -
$4.43
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.72
(17.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.06
Resistance Level
$4.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.29
Wall Street Target
$9.23
(+120.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Profit Margin
-14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 1.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.13
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.07
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$4.02
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$4.04
(-3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 252.6%)
$243.28
(+5720%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 252.6%)
$14.11
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 252.6%)
$11.99
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 1.3
Stabilization Target:
$4.20
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's YSG price and gamma walls.