YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
$3.08
0.11 (3.70%) ▲
5d: -6.67%
30d: -23.95%
90d: -24.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YSG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.08
39.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $3.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.37 to $4.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.9) compared to its historical average (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.87, while resistance sits at $3.92. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: YSG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.23 (+210.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $3.37 - $4.26
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 210.8% below Wall St target ($9.23)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.37 - $4.26
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.87
Resistance Level $3.92
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 0.92
Wall Street Target $9.23 (+210.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.8%
Profit Margin -14.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 0.9 vs 1.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.68 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.41 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.17 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→1) $3.07 (+4%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 252.6%) $243.82 (+8110%)
Base: (SPY PE: 0.9, Growth: 252.6%) $10.02 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 0.8, Growth: 252.6%) $8.52 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.9 to 1.3
Stabilization Target: $4.20 (+41.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +41.5%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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NEUTRAL

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