ZKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ZKH - ZKH Group Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing thirty-five (35) Class A Ordinary Shares

Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
$3.36
-0.09 (-2.61%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 17, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ZKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.87
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.03
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ZKH is currently trading at $3.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.34 to $3.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ZKH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.52 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $3.34 - $3.62
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($4.52)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.34 - $3.62
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.36
Resistance Level $3.54
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.84
Wall Street Target $4.52 (+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Profit Margin -2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.8 vs 7.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.45 (0%)
2-Year Target $3.44 (0%)
3-Year Target $3.44 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) $3.47 (+1%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 7.9
Stabilization Target: $3.48 (+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Advanced ZKH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ZKH price and gamma walls.

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