ZWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZWS - Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
$43.70
-0.67 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
-3.23%
30d:
-14.28%
90d:
-8.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ZWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.51
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZWS is currently trading at $43.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.78 to $50.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.0) compared to its historical average (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZWS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.33 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZWS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.33 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$44.78 -
$50.06
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($55.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.78 -
$50.06
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.00
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.06
Resistance Level
$46.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.99
Wall Street Target
$55.33
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 27.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.73
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$39.86
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$38.06
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→28)
$43.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$57.88
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$53.92
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$45.83
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$78.34
(+74%)
Analyst growth 62.6%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$71.22
(+58%)
Market implied 62.6%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$29.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$50.27
(+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZWS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sudhanshu Chhabra
SELL
2021 shares
2026-02-17
Timothy J Jahnke
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-17
Jeffrey J Lavalle
SELL
447 shares
2026-02-17
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