ZWS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZWS - Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
$46.11
-0.41 (-0.88%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ZWS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.17
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.12
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZWS is currently trading at $46.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.18 to $47.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.1) is in line with its historical norms (28.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZWS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.22 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZWS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZWS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.22 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$46.18 -
$47.51
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ZWS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.22)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.18 -
$47.51
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.56
Resistance Level
$48.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.08
Wall Street Target
$51.22
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.2%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 28.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.43
(0%)
2-Year Target
$46.33
(0%)
3-Year Target
$46.24
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→28)
$46.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$62.11
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.1%)
$49.33
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$41.93
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$78.33
(+68%)
Analyst growth 52.0%, PE expands to 47.3
Base Case
$71.21
(+53%)
Market implied 52.0%, PE stable at 43.0
Bear Case
$31.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.1 to 28.2
Stabilization Target:
$46.72
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZWS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy J Jahnke
SELL
2156 shares
2025-09-16
Timothy J Jahnke
SELL
17844 shares
2025-09-12
Timothy J Jahnke
SELL
9857 shares
2025-08-12
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