CECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CECO - Ceco Environmental Corp
$82.15
-3.40 (-3.97%)
▼
5d:
-13.61%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+33.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CECO is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CECO is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.95
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CECO is currently trading at $82.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.56 to $96.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.9) compared to its historical average (36.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.72, while resistance sits at $100.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.20 (+31.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.72, while resistance sits at $100.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.20 (+31.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$81.56 -
$96.22
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
34th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CECO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($108.20)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.56 -
$96.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.74
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.72
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.89
Wall Street Target
$108.20
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.5%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 36.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.91
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$70.14
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$64.81
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→37)
$82.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 51.0%)
$277.26
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 51.0%)
$209.00
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 51.0%)
$177.65
(+116%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 54.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case
$99.20
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.8
Base Case
$82.15
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 54.1
Bear Case
$62.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.9 to 36.7
Stabilization Target:
$104.35
(+27.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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