CECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CECO - Ceco Environmental Corp
$80.84
-5.24 (-6.09%)
▼
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
+26.33%
90d:
+2.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CECO is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $90 2026-06-18 with 23 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CECO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CECO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CECO is currently trading at $80.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.23 to $81.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.0) is in line with its historical norms (37.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.36, while resistance sits at $90.25. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.60 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CECO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.36, while resistance sits at $90.25. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.60 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$64.23 -
$81.22
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.23 -
$81.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.22
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.36
Resistance Level
$90.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.96
Wall Street Target
$93.60
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.5%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.0 vs 37.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.03
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$79.23
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$78.44
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→37)
$80.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.0, Growth: 34.9%)
$198.61
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 34.9%)
$121.89
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 34.9%)
$103.61
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 48.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.66
Bull Case
$97.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$80.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case
$61.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.0 to 37.1
Stabilization Target:
$83.40
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CECO price and gamma walls.
