FSS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSS - Federal Signal Corp.
$131.09
3.50 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
+3.24%
30d:
+23.15%
90d:
+19.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSS is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FSS is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.85
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSS is currently trading at $131.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.40 to $123.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $117.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $117.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.40 -
$123.15
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($143.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.40 -
$123.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.19
Resistance Level
$117.04
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.63
Wall Street Target
$143.57
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$136.12
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$138.70
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$130.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 11.6%)
$182.26
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$168.02
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.6%)
$142.82
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$176.99
(+35%)
Analyst growth 26.1%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$160.90
(+23%)
Market implied 26.1%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$86.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-09
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-02
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-02-26
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