FSS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSS - Federal Signal Corp.
$115.08
0.84 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
-4.47%
30d:
+1.71%
90d:
-3.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.08
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSS is currently trading at $115.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.21 to $120.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $113.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.14 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $113.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.14 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$112.21 -
$120.01
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($142.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.21 -
$120.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.15
Resistance Level
$125.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.76
Wall Street Target
$142.14
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.40
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$107.83
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$104.38
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$115.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.5%)
$169.47
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$159.64
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$135.69
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$158.31
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$143.91
(+25%)
Market implied 26.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$77.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$126.93
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-09
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-02
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-02-26
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