ACHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACHC - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

SERVICES-SPECIALTY OUTPATIENT FACILITIES, NEC
$31.91
0.66 (2.11%) ▲
5d: +21.61%
30d: +30.67%
90d: +34.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your ACHC Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 30d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 4.9/10

Get Alerted When ACHC Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ACHC is 15.1% above its trading range ($27.72). Market expects 15.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.40
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.74
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACHC is currently trading at $31.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.32 to $27.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ACHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $23.32 - $27.72
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

Protect Your Profits

ACHC is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($28.86)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.2% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 15.1% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.32 - $27.72
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.67
Resistance Level $32.82
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.24
Wall Street Target $28.86 (-9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -49.6%
Profit Margin -32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +15.2% premium
PE vs Historical 18.2 vs 11.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +15.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.76 (+15%)
2-Year Target $42.35 (+33%)
3-Year Target $48.78 (+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→12) PE COMPRESSION $31.82 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%) $59.54 (+87%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 16.0%) $49.87 (+56%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 16.0%) $32.53 (+2%)
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
See Full Scanner Results »
Technical Signals Check

Is ACHC showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ACHC.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Featured in Portfolios

ACHC is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

Healthcare Recovery Score Based • -13.4% Return
60
Healthcare Improvers Score Based • +69.9% Return
60
MedTech Improvers Score Based • -7.1% Return
60
Steady Improvers Score Based • -12.6% Return
60
Rocket Ships Score Based • +1.7% Return
60
Top 20 Improvers Score Based • +0.5% Return
60
View All Strategies

Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora… 		STRONG BUY
22 analysts 		$243 57 HOLD
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. 		BUY
25 analysts 		$500 66 BUY
EHC
Encompass Health Corp 		STRONG BUY
12 analysts 		$141 58 HOLD
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc 		STRONG BUY
11 analysts 		$22 53 HOLD
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporati… 		STRONG BUY
11 analysts 		$133 60 BUY
THC Tenet Healthcare …
57 HOLD
HCA HCA Healthcare, I…
66 BUY
EHC Encompass Health …
58 HOLD
CMPS Compass Pathways …
53 HOLD
ADUS Addus HomeCare Co…
60 BUY

Advanced ACHC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACHC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ACHC

ACHC Technical Chart ACHC Price Prediction ACHC Earnings Date ACHC Investment Advisor ACHC Fair Price Analyzer ACHC Options Advisor ACHC Options Chain ACHC Options Analysis ACHC Competitors
Compare ACHC with Peers
ACHC vs ADUS
Which one to buy?
ACHC vs EHC
Which one to buy?
ACHC vs SGRY
Which one to buy?
ACHC vs UHS
Which one to buy?
ACHC vs MD
Which one to buy?
BKD vs ACHC
SNDA vs ACHC
SEM vs ACHC
Winner: SEM
MD vs ACHC
AVAH vs ACHC
CMPS vs ACHC
ADUS vs ACHC
ACHC vs CON
Winner: CON
EHC vs ACHC
AGL vs ACHC
Create New Comparison View All Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals