ACRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACRE - Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
$5.21
0.02 (0.39%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACRE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.1% annual earnings decline despite 1598% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACRE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.1% annual earnings decline despite 1598% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACRE is currently trading at $5.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.78 to $5.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.7) compared to its historical average (49.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1598.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACRE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACRE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.78 -
$5.06
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($4.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.78 -
$5.06
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.74
Resistance Level
$5.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.68
Wall Street Target
$4.75
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1598.1%
Profit Margin
-8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.7 vs 49.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.69
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.80
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→49)
$5.23
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.7 to 49.1
Stabilization Target:
$7.17
(+37.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ACRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACRE price and gamma walls.
