FBRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBRT - Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.
$9.09
0.05 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
+5.21%
90d:
-10.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.48
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.61
5.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBRT is currently trading at $9.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.62 to $9.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.62 -
$9.18
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($13.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.62 -
$9.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.91
Resistance Level
$9.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.54
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.0%
Profit Margin
24.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.14
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$9.18
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$9.23
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 19.6%)
$45.23
(+398%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 19.6%)
$15.55
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$13.22
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$19.89
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$18.08
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$6.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 09, 2026 5:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Buford H Ortale
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-17
Peter J Mcdonough
SELL
1500 shares
2025-11-21
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