ACVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.
$7.62
-0.19 (-2.43%)
▼
5d:
-11.4%
30d:
-4.99%
90d:
-14.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACVA is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACVA is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $7.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.08 to $8.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.6) is in line with its historical norms (33.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.71 (+40.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.71 (+40.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$8.08 -
$8.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.5% below Wall St target ($10.71)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.08 -
$8.76
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.60
Resistance Level
$8.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.63
Wall Street Target
$10.71
(+40.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Profit Margin
-9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.6 vs 33.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.36
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$7.11
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$6.87
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→34)
$7.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.6, Growth: 48.0%)
$24.71
(+224%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 48.0%)
$17.99
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 48.0%)
$15.29
(+101%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.6 to 33.9
Stabilization Target:
$8.43
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Peer
SELL
1750 shares
2025-10-15
Andrew Peer
SELL
1750 shares
2025-09-15
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