ACVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.
$4.17
0.02 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
-13.31%
30d:
-14.2%
90d:
-49.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACVA is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACVA is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.09
58.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $4.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.43 to $5.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.12 (+119.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.12 (+119.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$4.43 -
$5.82
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 119.6% below Wall St target ($9.12)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.43 -
$5.82
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.07
Resistance Level
$5.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.43
Wall Street Target
$9.12
(+119.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
-8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 27.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.36
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→27)
$6.65
(+60%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 75.6%)
$25.24
(+508%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 75.6%)
$14.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 75.6%)
$11.91
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 27.3
Stabilization Target:
$9.12
(+119.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+119.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George Chamoun
BUY
24272 shares
2026-03-09
Andrew Peer
SELL
1750 shares
2026-01-15
George Chamoun
BUY
14286 shares
2026-01-12
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