CVNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVNA - Carvana Co.
$69.53
-0.37 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-82.62%
30d:
-81.26%
90d:
-79.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CVNA is down 4.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $500 2026-06-18 with 4,415 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
Get Alerted When CVNA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
17 traders called CVNA this week
24% bullish • 25 bearish
24% bullish • 25 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CVNA is down 82.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CVNA is down 82.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVNA is currently trading at $69.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $207.09 to $442.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.0) compared to its historical average (46.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.01 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.01 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$207.09 -
$442.95
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVNA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($93.01)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -82.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$207.09 -
$442.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.50
Resistance Level
$404.94
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.05
Wall Street Target
$93.01
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.1 vs 46.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.86
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$56.82
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$51.37
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→46)
$69.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.0, Growth: 33.1%)
$164.03
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 33.1%)
$106.18
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 33.1%)
$90.25
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$99.56
(+42%)
Analyst growth 18.7%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$90.51
(+30%)
Market implied 18.7%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$51.84
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.0 to 46.0
Stabilization Target:
$93.94
(+35.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Taira
SELL
3770 shares
2026-04-08
Benjamin E Huston
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Mark W Jenkins
SELL
12750 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 63 BUY |
|
KMX
CarMax Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$42 | 56 HOLD |
|
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$372 | 52 HOLD |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$9 | 54 HOLD |
|
CWH
Camping World Holdings I… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$14 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced CVNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVNA price and gamma walls.
