AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$190.50
-25.01 (-11.61%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
Smart Money Accumulation
AEM is down 11.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $195 2026-03-20 with 1,671 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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1 traders called AEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AEM is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AEM is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$388.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$241.30
21.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $190.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.99 to $209.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $188.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $188.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$176.99 -
$209.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($214.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$176.99 -
$209.33
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$188.52
Resistance Level
$225.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.14
Wall Street Target
$214.73
(-0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.8%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$221.11
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$226.86
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$232.76
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$215.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 45.3%)
$812.14
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 45.3%)
$660.73
(+207%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 45.3%)
$561.62
(+161%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.85
Bull Case
$425.36
(+123%)
Analyst growth 73.4%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$386.69
(+103%)
Market implied 73.4%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$151.63
(-20%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.
