KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$30.89
-0.38 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
+1.55%
30d:
-7.49%
90d:
-4.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
KGC is down 5.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $32 2026-06-18 with 1,472 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KGC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 134% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KGC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 134% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.99
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.14
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $30.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.28 to $33.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 133.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.73, while resistance sits at $32.78.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.55 (+31.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.73, while resistance sits at $32.78.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.55 (+31.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$30.28 -
$33.52
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($40.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.28 -
$33.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.73
Resistance Level
$32.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.76
Wall Street Target
$40.55
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
60.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.9%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.82
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$26.89
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$25.09
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$30.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$107.09
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$42.55
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.3%)
$36.17
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$51.62
(+67%)
Analyst growth 50.1%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$46.93
(+52%)
Market implied 50.1%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$21.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.09
(+23.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
