KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$24.71
1.24 (5.28%)
▲
5d:
+2.79%
30d:
-14.76%
90d:
-22.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.60
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.80
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $24.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.26 to $28.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 133.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.18 (+62.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.18 (+62.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.26 -
$28.48
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.6% below Wall St target ($40.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.26 -
$28.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.24
Resistance Level
$30.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.21
Wall Street Target
$40.18
(+62.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
60.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.9%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.24
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.02
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.01
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$25.22
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$102.05
(+313%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$33.80
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 11.0%)
$28.73
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$37.63
(+52%)
Analyst growth 45.8%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$34.21
(+38%)
Market implied 45.8%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$15.96
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$34.59
(+40.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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