NEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$116.33
-2.63 (-2.21%)
▼
5d:
+2.5%
30d:
+2.91%
90d:
-1.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
NEM is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $145 2026-07-17 with 5,728 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
Get Alerted When NEM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called NEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$187.86
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.65
0.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $116.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.55 to $118.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $107.40, while resistance sits at $121.26.
Market Sentiment: NEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.01 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $107.40, while resistance sits at $121.26.
Market Sentiment: NEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.01 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$110.55 -
$118.65
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($144.01)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.55 -
$118.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.40
Resistance Level
$121.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.26
Wall Street Target
$144.01
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.6%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.98
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$105.87
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$101.00
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$116.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$333.23
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 10.1%)
$155.15
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$131.88
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.66
Bull Case
$193.66
(+67%)
Analyst growth 48.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$176.05
(+51%)
Market implied 48.0%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$80.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$133.77
(+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Toth
SELL
3000 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Peter Toth
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-18
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$252 | 57 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$187 | 64 BUY |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$57 | 56 HOLD |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$61 | 58 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$41 | 60 BUY |
Advanced NEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEM price and gamma walls.
