AKAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKAM - Akamai Technologies Inc
$113.17
0.36 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
+0.25%
30d:
-29.41%
90d:
-2.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AKAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AKAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.83
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKAM is currently trading at $113.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.10 to $149.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.84, while resistance sits at $130.00.
Market Sentiment: AKAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.30 (+40.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.84, while resistance sits at $130.00.
Market Sentiment: AKAM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.30 (+40.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$118.10 -
$149.12
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.8% below Wall St target ($159.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.10 -
$149.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.84
Resistance Level
$130.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.85
Wall Street Target
$159.30
(+40.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.89
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$118.67
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$121.52
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$187.03
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$136.09
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 6.3%)
$115.68
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.96
Bull Case
$248.18
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.9
Base Case
$225.62
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.1
Bear Case
$76.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony P Williams
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Mani Sundaram
SELL
1722 shares
2026-03-09
Mani Sundaram
SELL
3186 shares
2026-03-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKAM price and gamma walls.
