AKBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AKBA - Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$1.16
-0.02 (-1.69%) β–Ό
5d: -17.14%
30d: -17.73%
90d: -16.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

AKBA is down 14.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2 2026-07-17 with 2,143 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AKBA is down 17.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AKBA is currently trading at $1.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.32 to $1.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -7.2) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AKBA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.12, while resistance sits at $1.54.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+279.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $1.32 - $1.48
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 279.3% below Wall St target ($4.40)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.32 - $1.48
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.13
Resistance Level $1.54
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -7.25
Wall Street Target $4.40 (+279.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.9%
Profit Margin -2.3%
PE vs Historical -7.3 vs 12.4 CHEAP
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Last updated: May 11, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John P Butler BUY 69270 shares 2026-03-04
Richard C Malabre SELL 49524 shares 2026-02-02

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Advanced AKBA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKBA price and gamma walls.

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