ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$207.34
0.07 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
+0.01%
30d:
-2.55%
90d:
-0.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.69
Based on -39.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $207.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.15 to $211.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 103.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $201.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.57 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $201.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.57 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$205.15 -
$211.84
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($239.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$205.15 -
$211.84
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$201.61
Resistance Level
$210.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.22
Wall Street Target
$239.57
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.2%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$206.10
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$204.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$203.63
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$208.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -82.3%)
$550.21
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -82.3%)
$202.27
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -82.3%)
$171.93
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $38.06
Bull Case
$149.61
(-28%)
Analyst growth -33.9%, PE expands to 5.9
Base Case
$136.01
(-35%)
Market implied -33.9%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$139.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$211.98
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Suren Gupta
SELL
19593 shares
2026-01-07
Suren Gupta
SELL
3786 shares
2025-11-28
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