CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$361.17
9.44 (2.68%)
▲
5d:
+9.17%
30d:
+15.66%
90d:
+10.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$444.76
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$276.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $361.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $315.90 to $339.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $361.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $361.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$315.90 -
$339.81
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
CB is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($346.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$315.90 -
$339.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$322.00
Resistance Level
$361.33
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.35
Wall Street Target
$346.09
(-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.7%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$371.28
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$381.68
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$392.37
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$362.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$799.21
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 7.9%)
$453.33
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 7.9%)
$385.33
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.28
Bull Case
$399.96
(+11%)
Analyst growth 3.4%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$363.60
(+1%)
Market implied 3.4%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$239.18
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-26
Olivier Steimer
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-19
Timothy Alan Boroughs
SELL
27817 shares
2026-02-06
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