AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$39.55
1.44 (3.79%)
▲
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
-17.86%
90d:
+368.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
AMCR is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 1,996 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMCR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.80
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.48
4.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $39.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.87 to $47.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.54 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.54 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$38.87 -
$47.23
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($52.54)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.87 -
$47.23
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.95
Resistance Level
$40.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.65
Wall Street Target
$52.54
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
68.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.59
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$33.25
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$31.05
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$38.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$134.25
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$51.96
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$44.17
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.33
Bull Case
$84.22
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.7
Base Case
$76.56
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.8
Bear Case
$26.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$46.70
(+22.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-12-19
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Advanced AMCR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMCR price and gamma walls.
