CCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCK - Crown Holdings Inc.
$113.29
1.92 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
+2.98%
30d:
+18.33%
90d:
+9.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.96
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $113.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.51 to $107.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$94.51 -
$107.81
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($125.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 12.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.51 -
$107.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.51
Resistance Level
$113.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.82
Wall Street Target
$125.00
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.12
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$119.03
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$122.00
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$249.02
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$146.59
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$124.60
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.29
Bull Case
$172.09
(+52%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$156.45
(+38%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$75.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-15
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-08
Djalma Novaes Jr
SELL
29734 shares
2026-02-23
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