CCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCK - Crown Holdings Inc.
$96.08
-3.13 (-3.15%)
▼
5d:
-5.05%
30d:
-7.86%
90d:
-13.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.38
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $96.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.00 to $105.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+30.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+30.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$99.00 -
$105.41
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.1% below Wall St target ($125.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.00 -
$105.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.05
Resistance Level
$102.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.87
Wall Street Target
$125.00
(+30.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.72
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$89.47
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$86.34
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$96.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$252.33
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$124.32
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$105.67
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.29
Bull Case
$153.30
(+60%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$139.37
(+45%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$67.46
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$106.92
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-15
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-08
Djalma Novaes Jr
SELL
29734 shares
2026-02-23
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