BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$55.20
-1.42 (-2.51%)
▼
5d:
-5.67%
30d:
-12.89%
90d:
-17.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BALL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BALL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.91
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.69
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $55.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.17 to $63.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.79 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.79 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$58.17 -
$63.25
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($70.79)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.17 -
$63.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.07
Resistance Level
$61.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$70.79
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.16
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$51.19
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$49.30
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$55.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$144.11
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 13.0%)
$79.74
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$67.78
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$82.07
(+49%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$74.61
(+35%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$38.50
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$61.92
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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