BALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BALL - Ball Corporation
$63.39
1.64 (2.66%)
▲
5d:
+3.29%
30d:
+17.93%
90d:
+5.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.88
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BALL is currently trading at $63.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.99 to $60.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.79 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BALL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BALL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.79 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.99 -
$60.68
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.79)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.99 -
$60.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.08
Resistance Level
$63.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.02
Wall Street Target
$70.79
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.28
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$65.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$66.09
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.0%)
$142.22
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 13.0%)
$91.58
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$77.84
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$90.92
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$82.66
(+30%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$42.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fauze Villatoro
BUY
1551 shares
2026-03-04
Kathleen Pitre
SELL
10660 shares
2026-03-02
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