SLGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SLGN - Silgan Holdings Inc

METAL CANS
$46.39
0.28 (0.61%) ▲
5d: +2.34%
30d: +25.96%
90d: +16.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SLGN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.89
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SLGN is currently trading at $46.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.22 to $44.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SLGN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SLGN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.17 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $37.22 - $44.33
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 14th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

Protect Your Profits

SLGN is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.17)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 6.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $37.22 - $44.33
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.03 (4.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.68
Resistance Level $39.02
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.36
Wall Street Target $53.17 (+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.2%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 10.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $47.74 (+3%)
2-Year Target $49.12 (+6%)
3-Year Target $50.54 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $46.27 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.3%) $109.76 (+137%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 7.3%) $57.24 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 7.3%) $48.66 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case $77.58 (+67%)
Analyst growth 53.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case $70.53 (+52%)
Market implied 53.0%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case $31.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-01-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-01-05

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Advanced SLGN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SLGN price and gamma walls.

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