AMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMN - AMN Healthcare Services

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$34.75
1.51 (4.54%) ▲
5d: +7.49%
30d: +14.88%
90d: +87.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.85
Based on -27.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.39
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMN is currently trading at $34.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.13 to $32.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.0) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $29.86. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $29.13 - $32.59
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.5%

Protect Your Profits

AMN is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($29.86)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.5% growth expectation is conservative given 321% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $29.13 - $32.59
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.99 (8.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.98
Resistance Level $34.77
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.00
Wall Street Target $29.86 (-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 99.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 321.3%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.5% premium
PE vs Historical 32.0 vs 23.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.75 (+12%)
2-Year Target $43.20 (+24%)
3-Year Target $48.17 (+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→23) PE COMPRESSION $34.77 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.0, Growth: -59.2%) $25.33 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -59.2%) $17.24 (-50%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -59.2%) $14.66 (-58%)
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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