AMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMX - America Movil S.A.B de C.V American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive twenty (20) Series B Shares)

Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)
$20.70
-0.80 (-3.72%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.75
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.09
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMX is currently trading at $20.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.35 to $21.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.70, while resistance sits at $22.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $20.35 - $21.03
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.40)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.35 - $21.03
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.71
Resistance Level $22.00
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.74
Wall Street Target $23.40 (+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 280.0%
Profit Margin 7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 12.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.80 (+1%)
2-Year Target $22.11 (+3%)
3-Year Target $22.42 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $21.46 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.8%) $54.04 (+151%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.8%) $30.88 (+44%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.8%) $26.25 (+22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case $30.82 (+49%)
Analyst growth 29.8%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case $28.02 (+35%)
Market implied 29.8%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case $14.68 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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