CMCSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCSA - Comcast Corp
$23.79
0.06 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
+4.85%
30d:
-4.27%
90d:
-15.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMCSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMCSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.09
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $23.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.97 to $24.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.12, while resistance sits at $27.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.43 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.12, while resistance sits at $27.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.43 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.97 -
$24.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($32.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.97 -
$24.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.13
Resistance Level
$27.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.33
Wall Street Target
$32.43
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.6%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 7.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.89
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$22.02
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$21.18
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$23.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$100.98
(+324%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 7.3%)
$29.37
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 7.3%)
$24.96
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.10
Bull Case
$19.22
(-19%)
Analyst growth -26.4%, PE expands to 5.1
Base Case
$17.47
(-27%)
Market implied -26.4%, PE stable at 4.7
Bear Case
$16.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.66
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-17
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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