API Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
API - Agora, Inc. American Depositary Shares
$4.25
0.08 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
-3.63%
30d:
+4.42%
90d:
+21.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: API shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: API shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: API is currently trading at $4.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.09 to $4.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.2) compared to its historical average (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, API is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.85 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, API is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.85 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.09 -
$4.55
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($5.85)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.09 -
$4.55
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.64
(14.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.13
Resistance Level
$4.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.16
Wall Street Target
$5.85
(+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 27.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.99
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$3.81
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$3.64
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→28)
$4.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 116.0%)
$14.07
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 116.0%)
$12.99
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 116.0%)
$11.04
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (65x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 65.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.07
Bull Case
$10.03
(+141%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 71.7
Base Case
$9.12
(+119%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 65.1
Bear Case
$3.10
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 55.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.2 to 27.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.78
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 3:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is API showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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