Is ASML stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ASML is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ASML shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ASML stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ASML to be between $1319.71 and $1446.91. The current price is $1320.83.

What is the analyst price target for ASML?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ASML is $1461.36. This implies a potential upside of 10.6% from current levels.

ASML Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASML - ASML Holding NV

Special Industry Machinery, NEC

$1320.83

66.87 (5.33%) ▲

5d: -5.62%

30d: -7.22%

90d: +23.91%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your ASML Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Apr 15, 2026 14d

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

See why ASML plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →

Smart Money Distribution

ASML is up 4.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $750 2026-04-17 with 640 OI. Put ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.4/10

Get Alerted When ASML Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASML shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$1836.76

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$1140.48

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASML is currently trading at $1320.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1319.71 to $1446.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.0) compared to its historical average (40.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASML is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1248.11, while resistance sits at $1413.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: ASML has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1461.36 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $1319.71 - $1446.91

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.5%

Protect Your Profits

Holding ASML? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1461.36)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $1319.71 - $1446.91

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1248.11

Resistance Level $1413.28

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.01

Wall Street Target $1461.36 (+10.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.2%

Profit Margin 29.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 35.0 vs 40.8 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $1254.79 (-5%)

2-Year Target $1192.05 (-10%)

3-Year Target $1132.45 (-14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35→41) $1319.77 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 35.0, Growth: 26.6%) $2677.85 (+103%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 26.6%) $1709.55 (+29%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 26.6%) $1453.12 (+10%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 46.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.32

Bull Case $1919.08 (+40%)

Analyst growth 32.4%, PE expands to 51.2

Base Case $1744.62 (+27%)

Market implied 32.4%, PE stable at 46.5

Bear Case $895.73 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.0 to 40.8

Stabilization Target: $1539.31 (+16.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +16.5%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is ASML showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ASML.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Featured in Portfolios

ASML is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

Semiconductor Kings Sector • +4.7% Return

View All Strategies

Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
LRCX Lam Research Corp	STRONG BUY 33 analysts	$275	43 HOLD
AMAT Applied Materials Inc	STRONG BUY 38 analysts	$411	44 HOLD
KLAC KLA Corporation	BUY 28 analysts	$1676	54 HOLD
TER Teradyne Inc	BUY 17 analysts	$314	43 HOLD
INDI indie Semiconductor Inc	STRONG BUY 6 analysts	$6	59 HOLD

LRCX Lam Research Corp

43 HOLD

AMAT Applied Materials…

INDI indie Semiconduct…

59 HOLD

Advanced ASML Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASML price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ASML

ASML Technical Chart ASML Price Prediction ASML Earnings Date ASML Investment Advisor ASML Fair Price Analyzer ASML Options Advisor ASML Options Chain ASML Options Analysis ASML Competitors

ASML Holding NV

Special Industry Machinery, NEC

About

ASML is the leader in photolithography systems used in manufacturing semiconductors. Photolithography is the process in which a light source is used to expose circuit patterns from a photo mask onto a semiconductor wafer. The latest technological advances in this segment allow chipmakers to continually increase the number of transistors on the same area of silicon, with lithography historically representing a high portion of the cost of making cutting-edge chips. ASML outsources the manufacturing of most of its parts, acting like an assembler. ASML's main clients are TSMC, Samsung, and Intel.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $389,416,916,894

Employees: 44,127

Listed Since: 1995-03-15

Website: Visit

CIK: 0000937966

Compare ASML with Other Stocks

LRCX vs ASML
Winner: Tie

TRT vs ASML
Winner: Tie

ERII vs ASML
Winner: Tie

AZTA vs ASML

VECO vs ASML

Create New Comparison

Tradestie