KLAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock
$235.55
-30.64 (-11.51%)
▼
5d:
-8.98%
30d:
+15.17%
90d:
+54.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KLAC trades at premium valuation expecting 80.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KLAC trades at premium valuation expecting 80.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $235.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.48 to $261.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.5) compared to its historical average (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 80.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.01, while resistance sits at $307.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.01, while resistance sits at $307.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$202.48 -
$261.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KLAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($214.21)
- BEARISH: Market expects 80.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.48 -
$261.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.01
Resistance Level
$307.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.45
Wall Street Target
$214.21
(-9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+80.4% premium
PE vs Historical
46.5 vs 7.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+80.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$353.33
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$529.99
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$794.98
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$135.19
(-43%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.5, Growth: 36.5%)
$598.89
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.5%)
$280.79
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 36.5%)
$101.85
(-57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (75x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 75.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.54
Bull Case
$419.41
(+78%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 82.7
Base Case
$381.28
(+62%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 75.2
Bear Case
$181.01
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 63.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KLAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-18
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KLAC price and gamma walls.
