KLAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock
$1804.32
-88.62 (-4.68%)
▼
5d:
-3.47%
30d:
+4.0%
90d:
+23.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
KLAC is up 7.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $1620 2026-06-18 with 1,721 OI. Put ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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4 traders called KLAC this week
50% bullish • 2 bearish
50% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KLAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KLAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2419.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1502.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $1804.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1741.98 to $1854.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.3) is in line with its historical norms (33.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1676.79, while resistance sits at $1911.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1676.79, while resistance sits at $1911.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1741.98 -
$1854.84
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1851.69)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1741.98 -
$1854.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$142.52
(7.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1676.79
Resistance Level
$1911.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.30
Wall Street Target
$1851.69
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
36.3 vs 33.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1845.82
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$1888.27
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$1931.70
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$1804.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.3, Growth: 34.1%)
$4348.83
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 34.1%)
$2644.08
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 34.1%)
$2247.47
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 37.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $48.54
Bull Case
$2178.72
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$1804.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$1380.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KLAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-18
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
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Advanced KLAC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KLAC price and gamma walls.
