TER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TER - Teradyne, Inc. Common Stock
$369.09
-58.25 (-13.63%)
▼
5d:
-21.8%
30d:
-5.99%
90d:
+18.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TER is down 21.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TER is down 21.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$478.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$297.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TER is currently trading at $369.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $370.97 to $442.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.5) is in line with its historical norms (40.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 314.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $362.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $416.65 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $362.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $416.65 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$370.97 -
$442.32
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($416.65)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -21.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$370.97 -
$442.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$362.01
Resistance Level
$487.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.52
Wall Street Target
$416.65
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
314.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 40.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$360.97
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$353.03
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$345.26
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→40)
$369.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: 35.0%)
$907.49
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.0%)
$526.78
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 35.0%)
$447.76
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (80x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 79.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.37
Bull Case
$861.10
(+133%)
Analyst growth 83.2%, PE expands to 87.5
Base Case
$782.82
(+112%)
Market implied 83.2%, PE stable at 79.6
Bear Case
$290.59
(-21%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 67.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.5 to 40.1
Stabilization Target:
$394.46
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-04
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TER price and gamma walls.
