TER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TER - Teradyne, Inc. Common Stock
$356.55
-6.83 (-1.88%)
▼
5d:
+0.69%
30d:
-2.3%
90d:
+14.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TER is down 16.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $350 2026-06-18 with 614 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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3 traders called TER this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$463.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$287.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TER is currently trading at $356.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $339.56 to $387.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.5) is in line with its historical norms (39.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 314.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $336.65, while resistance sits at $383.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $336.65, while resistance sits at $383.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$339.56 -
$387.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($369.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$339.56 -
$387.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$336.65
Resistance Level
$383.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.48
Wall Street Target
$369.53
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
314.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 39.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$349.78
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$343.13
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$336.61
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→40)
$356.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: 32.5%)
$829.78
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 32.5%)
$487.96
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 32.5%)
$414.76
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (68x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 67.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.38
Bull Case
$706.80
(+98%)
Analyst growth 76.8%, PE expands to 74.3
Base Case
$642.55
(+80%)
Market implied 76.8%, PE stable at 67.5
Bear Case
$247.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 57.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.5 to 39.7
Stabilization Target:
$377.67
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-04
Gregory Stephen Smith
SELL
1108 shares
2025-12-12
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