AU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AU - AngloGold Ashanti plc
$96.27
5.71 (6.31%)
▲
5d:
+12.19%
30d:
-24.94%
90d:
+13.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.22
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AU is currently trading at $96.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.06 to $118.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.86 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.86 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$89.06 -
$118.51
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($121.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$89.06 -
$118.51
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.99
Resistance Level
$97.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.14
Wall Street Target
$121.86
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
26.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.13
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$78.16
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$72.61
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$90.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.1%)
$235.73
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 2.1%)
$96.42
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 2.1%)
$81.96
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$164.16
(+92%)
Analyst growth 86.6%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$149.23
(+74%)
Market implied 86.6%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$54.39
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$112.93
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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