AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$192.66
-3.31 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
+2.6%
30d:
-10.14%
90d:
-6.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
AEM is down 5.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $140 2026-06-18 with 1,535 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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1 traders called AEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 109% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 109% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$270.80
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$168.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $192.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.13 to $214.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 108.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $178.02, while resistance sits at $200.64.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.30 (+31.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $178.02, while resistance sits at $200.64.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.30 (+31.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$188.13 -
$214.11
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.0% below Wall St target ($252.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.13 -
$214.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.02
Resistance Level
$200.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.60
Wall Street Target
$252.30
(+31.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.6%
Profit Margin
39.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$182.64
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$173.14
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$164.14
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$191.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 3.5%)
$346.23
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 3.5%)
$213.61
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 3.5%)
$181.57
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.62
Bull Case
$287.59
(+49%)
Analyst growth 33.4%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$261.44
(+36%)
Market implied 33.4%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$133.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$225.27
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.
