AVGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVGO - Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
$331.30
0.57 (0.17%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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19 traders called AVGO this week
93% bullish • 2 bearish
93% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AVGO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 188% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AVGO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 188% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$692.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$429.87
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVGO is currently trading at $331.30, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.91 to $350.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (31.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 188.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVGO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $314.11, while resistance sits at $354.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $456.12 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVGO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $314.11, while resistance sits at $354.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $456.12 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$330.91 -
$350.30
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($456.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$330.91 -
$350.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$314.11
Resistance Level
$354.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.26
Wall Street Target
$456.12
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
188.1%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 31.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$299.97
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$272.07
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$246.77
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→31)
$331.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 38.2%)
$873.81
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 38.2%)
$837.84
(+153%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 38.2%)
$712.17
(+115%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.22
Bull Case
$399.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$330.73
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case
$253.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 31.2
Stabilization Target:
$443.68
(+34.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justine Page
SELL
800 shares
2025-10-14
Henry Samueli
SELL
368797 shares
2025-09-24
Hock E Tan
SELL
100000 shares
2025-09-23
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