BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$87.50
-0.92 (-1.04%) โ–ผ
5d: -6.85%
30d: +3.72%
90d: +5.65%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Jan 23, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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๐Ÿ’ก
Bottom Line:
๐Ÿ“Š HOLD: BAH is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.21
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.33
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $87.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.96 to $96.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.36 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $86.96 - $96.57
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($106.36)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $86.96 - $96.57
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $86.29
Resistance Level $109.10
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.96
Wall Street Target $106.36 (+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.4%
Profit Margin 7.3%
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 14.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $87.50 (0%)
2-Year Target $87.50 (0%)
3-Year Target $87.50 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14โ†’14) $87.74 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.4%) $154.53 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 3.4%) $96.75 (+11%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 3.4%) $82.24 (-6%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.74
Bull Case $90.43 (+3%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case $82.21 (-6%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case $60.13 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
๐Ÿ”ฅ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BAH price and gamma walls.

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