VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$188.35
4.63 (2.52%)
▲
5d:
+6.39%
30d:
+5.16%
90d:
+2.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$309.05
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$191.89
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $188.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.30 to $183.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.47 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.47 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$174.30 -
$183.29
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($220.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.30 -
$183.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$166.81
Resistance Level
$184.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.72
Wall Street Target
$220.47
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.08
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$177.95
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$172.97
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$188.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$273.34
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$272.60
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.1%)
$231.71
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.56
Bull Case
$267.13
(+42%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case
$242.85
(+29%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$124.93
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$205.51
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-03-17
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