VRSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock
$156.84
-4.63 (-2.87%)
▼
5d:
-10.22%
30d:
-11.31%
90d:
-12.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
VRSK is down 7.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $190 2026-06-18 with 5,718 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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1 traders called VRSK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VRSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$322.30
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$200.12
21.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRSK is currently trading at $156.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.89 to $182.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $157.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $222.53 (+37.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $157.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRSK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $222.53 (+37.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$167.89 -
$182.23
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRSK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.8% below Wall St target ($222.53)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$167.89 -
$182.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$157.30
Resistance Level
$188.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.65
Wall Street Target
$222.53
(+37.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.94
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$133.71
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$121.68
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$161.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.2%)
$276.58
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 13.2%)
$234.06
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$198.95
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.57
Bull Case
$244.34
(+51%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$222.12
(+38%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$114.63
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$213.84
(+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Elizabeth Mann
SELL
400 shares
2026-03-17
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