ICFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$60.86
0.96 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
-18.31%
30d:
-16.7%
90d:
-19.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ICFI is down 18.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ICFI is down 18.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.47
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.46
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $60.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.53 to $72.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.83, while resistance sits at $75.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+72.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $58.83, while resistance sits at $75.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+72.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.53 -
$72.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.9% below Wall St target ($105.25)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.53 -
$72.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.83
Resistance Level
$75.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.93
Wall Street Target
$105.25
(+72.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$49.74
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$44.96
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$60.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$221.70
(+264%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$79.78
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$67.81
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case
$109.21
(+79%)
Analyst growth 65.7%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$99.28
(+63%)
Market implied 65.7%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$40.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$82.11
(+34.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Randall Mehl
BUY
1100 shares
2026-03-06
Randall Mehl
BUY
500 shares
2025-11-17
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