ICFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICFI - ICF International, Inc.
$74.99
2.54 (3.51%)
▲
5d:
+15.17%
30d:
+7.67%
90d:
+14.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ICFI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ICFI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.31
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICFI is currently trading at $74.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.61 to $72.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICFI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICFI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICFI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$67.61 -
$72.85
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($105.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.61 -
$72.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.17
Resistance Level
$72.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.76
Wall Street Target
$105.25
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.57
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$72.17
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$70.80
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$74.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$218.84
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$98.11
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$83.39
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case
$132.19
(+76%)
Analyst growth 65.9%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$120.18
(+60%)
Market implied 65.9%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$49.27
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$79.10
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Randall Mehl
BUY
1100 shares
2026-03-06
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