BEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEN - Franklin Resources, Inc.
$26.62
0.74 (2.86%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.48
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.27
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEN is currently trading at $26.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.35 to $25.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$24.35 -
$25.87
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.73)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.35 -
$25.87
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.68
Resistance Level
$26.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.22
Wall Street Target
$25.73
(-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.1%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.06
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.24
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.43
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$89.10
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$36.83
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$31.31
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case
$56.45
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$51.32
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$17.45
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-03
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