BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$99.85
0.23 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
+3.96%
30d:
+1.07%
90d:
+6.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BJ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BJ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.35
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $99.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.07 to $99.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$96.07 -
$99.51
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($104.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$96.07 -
$99.51
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.21
Resistance Level
$101.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.38
Wall Street Target
$104.85
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.31
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$101.01
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$101.72
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$126.76
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$120.97
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 6.7%)
$102.83
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.38
Bull Case
$113.56
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$103.23
(+8%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$65.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-18
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-13
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-09
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