BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$92.44
2.17 (2.40%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.96
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.21
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $92.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.58 to $95.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.32, while resistance sits at $98.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.10 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.32, while resistance sits at $98.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.10 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$90.58 -
$95.43
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BJ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.10)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$90.58 -
$95.43
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.32
Resistance Level
$98.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.43
Wall Street Target
$104.10
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.10
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$85.99
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$83.93
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$90.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$125.72
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$109.56
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.7%)
$93.13
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.34
Bull Case
$112.59
(+25%)
Analyst growth 7.2%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$102.35
(+13%)
Market implied 7.2%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$64.91
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$97.08
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Graham Luce
SELL
6300 shares
2025-09-17
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2025-08-25
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-21
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Advanced BJ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BJ price and gamma walls.
