BPOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BPOP - Popular Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$167.26
-1.24 (-0.74%) β–Ό
5d: +0.04%
30d: +10.69%
90d: +22.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: BPOP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.34
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BPOP is currently trading at $167.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.56 to $164.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $170.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BPOP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $151.56 - $164.61
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($174.22)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $151.56 - $164.61
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$8.84 (5.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $158.88
Resistance Level $170.02
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.16
Wall Street Target $174.22 (+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.8%
Profit Margin 30.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 9.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $174.12 (+4%)
2-Year Target $181.26 (+8%)
3-Year Target $188.69 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10β†’9) PE COMPRESSION $167.12 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.4%) $495.57 (+196%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 11.4%) $231.21 (+38%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.4%) $196.53 (+18%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.51
Bull Case $225.82 (+35%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case $205.29 (+23%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case $114.58 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alejandro M Sanchez SELL 1451 shares 2026-02-26
Alejandro M Ballester SELL 2360 shares 2026-01-30

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