BWXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWXT - BWX Technologies, Inc.
$204.49
12.90 (6.73%)
▲
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-5.53%
90d:
+16.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
BWXT is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-05-15 with 993 OI. Call ratio: 82% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
Get Alerted When BWXT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWXT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BWXT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$191.57
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWXT is currently trading at $204.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.73 to $210.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.5) is in line with its historical norms (43.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $189.00, while resistance sits at $222.29. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWXT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.00 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWXT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $189.00, while resistance sits at $222.29. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BWXT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.00 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$197.73 -
$210.38
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($234.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$197.73 -
$210.38
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$189.00
Resistance Level
$222.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.50
Wall Street Target
$234.00
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.5 vs 43.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.56
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$192.80
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$187.21
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→43)
$204.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$290.42
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$164.32
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$139.67
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$318.20
(+55%)
Analyst growth 44.8%, PE expands to 61.4
Base Case
$289.27
(+41%)
Market implied 44.8%, PE stable at 55.8
Bear Case
$135.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.5 to 43.1
Stabilization Target:
$223.12
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BWXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin James Gorman
SELL
1344 shares
2026-03-02
Gerhard F Burbach
SELL
1983 shares
2026-02-25
Rex D Geveden
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-12
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$272 | 55 HOLD |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$388 | 63 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$280 | 57 HOLD |
|
RTX
Raytheon Technologies Co… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$217 | 61 BUY |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corpora… |
BUY
25 analysts |
$724 | 62 BUY |
Advanced BWXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWXT price and gamma walls.
