RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$199.25
7.47 (3.90%)
▲
5d:
+6.78%
30d:
+14.34%
90d:
+2.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
24d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.07
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $199.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.13 to $189.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.3) is in line with its historical norms (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $199.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: RTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $199.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: RTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$177.13 -
$189.22
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($215.68)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$177.13 -
$189.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.97
Resistance Level
$199.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.29
Wall Street Target
$215.68
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$200.45
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$201.65
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$202.86
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$199.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 9.6%)
$262.52
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.6%)
$217.51
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.6%)
$184.88
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.33
Bull Case
$300.00
(+51%)
Analyst growth 42.2%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$272.72
(+37%)
Market implied 42.2%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$130.41
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dantaya M Williams
SELL
12713 shares
2026-02-23
Neil G Mitchill Jr
SELL
35755 shares
2026-02-19
Ramsaran Maharajh
SELL
15124 shares
2026-02-19
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