CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc

Agricultural Prod-Livestock & Animal Specialties
$77.13
0.25 (0.33%) ▲
5d: +2.23%
30d: +0.69%
90d: -5.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.03
Based on -25.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $77.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.43 to $77.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.79, while resistance sits at $80.50.

Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $75.43 - $77.56
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with -53.0% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $75.43 - $77.56
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.79
Resistance Level $80.50
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.33
Wall Street Target $88.00 (+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -53.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.8%
Profit Margin 20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.8% premium
PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 19.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $79.80 (+4%)
2-Year Target $82.83 (+8%)
3-Year Target $85.98 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→19) PE COMPRESSION $77.01 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: -54.6%) $58.00 (+-25%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: -54.6%) $56.05 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 18.1, Growth: -54.6%) $47.64 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.37
Bull Case $42.91 (-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case $39.01 (-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case $53.05 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced CALM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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