CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$77.13
0.25 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
+2.23%
30d:
+0.69%
90d:
-5.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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1 traders called CALM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.03
Based on -25.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $77.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.43 to $77.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.79, while resistance sits at $80.50.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.79, while resistance sits at $80.50.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.43 -
$77.56
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with -53.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.43 -
$77.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.79
Resistance Level
$80.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.33
Wall Street Target
$88.00
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-53.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.8%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.80
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$82.83
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$85.98
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -54.6%)
$58.00
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: -54.6%)
$56.05
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: -54.6%)
$47.64
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.37
Bull Case
$42.91
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case
$39.01
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$53.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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