CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$325.93
0.58 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+0.1%
30d:
-4.91%
90d:
+3.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
CB is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $350 2026-04-17 with 1,023 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$457.13
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$283.84
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $325.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $323.58 to $335.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $318.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $318.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$323.58 -
$335.48
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($338.91)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$323.58 -
$335.48
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$318.31
Resistance Level
$331.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.17
Wall Street Target
$338.91
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$322.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$319.44
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$316.25
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$325.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$838.47
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 8.8%)
$419.20
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$356.32
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.68
Bull Case
$403.00
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$366.36
(+12%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$219.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$335.44
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Alan Boroughs
SELL
27817 shares
2026-02-06
Evan G Greenberg
SELL
15060 shares
2026-02-05
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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